A Confluence of Positive Factors

The Wall Street Journal recently reported that home affordability is at its highest level in years; this degree of affordability becomes more apparent when compared to rent prices, which continue to rise across the country.

Meanwhile, ADP 's National Employment Report showed another month of strong job growth, with the private-sector adding 206,000 new jobs for November. Accelerating job growth usually portends a strong (at least stronger) economy.

Accelerating job growth combined with a historically high affordability index suggests to us that this is the near-perfect time to buy or refinance a home, because we doubt that affordability will remain this high at the end of 2012.

The fact is that bloated inventory levels are falling, and falling inventory in many markets has spurred bidding wars. As the economy continues to improve, inventory will become less bloated and prices and financing costs will rise. It's always worth remembering that the best time to buy is when enough clouds remain to permeate the market with at least some pessimism, because the best deals are only found when the future is still clouded by uncertainty. When the clouds clear, so will the high affordability index.

Today, we have low home prices, low mortgage rates, and more job growth. In our opinion, this is the perfect time to buy or refinance, because continued job growth, a rising stock market, and a growing economy means higher home prices and higher lending rates in the future.